Israel’s Unspoken Nuclear Leverage - NCCG.ORG Ning Network Archive 2008-10

02nov09
Much is made of Israel’s political power in the west and particularly in the US. There have been private complaints about it for decades. Only recently has it become possible to speak about it in public. Still the iron fist inside the chain-mail glove is only for private discussion.

Back in 1990 when Israel was demanding the first war against Iraq it was threatening to use nuclear weapons against Iraq. It only takes a minimal understanding of military power to see it was far beyond Israel’s conventional military capability.

This is a fact.
It took the US alliance roughly 2000 sorties per day for 44 days to soften up Iraq sufficient before a half million ground troops [check numbers] started the ground attack.

Without going into the broad outlines of the logistic aspects of such an operation it should be clear Israel could not mount such an operation. But there are always people who can imagine it is possible.

The romantic view of Israel is that Zionism can overcome all odds – Exodus II with an even better soundtrack.
The biblical view of Israel is that god will intervene on the side of the Jews – Pharaoh II so to speak.
The gambler’s view of Israel is that it never lost a war so it is unlikely to lose this one – the Waterloo view.
The realist view is that a full scale 44 day military mobilization alone with no military actions whatsoever would bankrupt Israel. It is also the realist view that Israelis knew all the logistics problems with even preparing for the bombing side of such an operation.

Two logistics facts show it all. The allies flew over 3600 sorties per day for 44 days totalling over 100,000. There were over 850,000 troops in the Middle East directly involved in military operations not counting the military and civilians supporting military operations.

It is therefore the realist view that the Israel threat was not a ridiculous, impossible threat to use conventional weapons. Rather it was a clear threat to use nuclear weapons.

A threat to use conventional weapons would not and could not have been taken seriously by the US. Yet the US took the Israeli threat seriously. Therefore it was a nuclear threat.

Prior to the contrived second Iraq war, this time for the conquest of Iraq, Israel was demanding (What is Israel to demand anything?) this second war it was making the same threats to deal with Iraq on its own. Every Israeli politician in and out of office who could get a reporter to show up was making this threat for publication. The US took this threat seriously too.

In a repeat of the two Iraq wars Israel is making the same threats against Iran. Every problem with a war on Iran is three times greater due to population alone. But Israel is only talking about destroying Iran’s one nuclear power reactor and facilities related to uranium processing. What is Israel’s alternative to other countries make war on its behalf? Israel threatens to destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities all by itself. This threat is being taken seriously.

Iran instead of Iraq changes very little in the difficulty and duration of the effort. Israel must do all of the following.

It must destroy all air defenses on the flight paths to those facilities so it is possible to actually reach the targets. This means all radars, missile batteries and air fields. In practice this could mean all air defense installations.
It must destroy the targets themselves most of which are underground and require multiple strikes with “bunker buster” bombs to have a hope of succeeding. Succeeding bombs will have to go into the hole made by the first bomb at least three times and likely more.
It must destroy Iran’s capability to counter-attack Israel. This means all long-range missiles including those in underground bunkers and the facilities which manufacture them.
It must impose a peace which prevents Iran from from repairing these facilities and starting over with a clear intention of developing nuclear weapons and missiles to strike Israel.
Israel has no long bombers. It has only long range fighters which can be configured to attack ground targets. For all practical purposes Israel might be able to fly 200 sorties on the first day of operation. The number per day will rapidly decrease after that for a variety of reasons. The number per day it can sustain long term is unknown.

A failure in any one of the four required objectives is a failure of the entire operation. Only nuclear weapons have a chance of achieving all four objectives but even they are uncertain against underground facilities designed to withstand a modest nuclear attack. Therefore more than one low yield nuclear weapon is required per target or one high yield weapon per target is required.

This means using hydrogen bombs.

A hydrogen bomb can accomplish the first three objectives and goes a very long way to the fourth objective with a threat to do it again. For Israel to make a credible threat rather than a laughable threat it can only be making a nuclear threat. The west is taking Israel’s threat seriously. Therefore it is not publicly but privately spoken that Israel is making a nuclear threat.

Would Israel actually go so far as to nuke Iran? Izziehuggers say no. Lovers of Israel cherish their blinders and work hard to keep them functioning. Here are some facts about Zionism and Israel stripped of the inspiring Exodus soundtrack.

Israel is based on ideological and religious fanaticism which is backed by radical Judaism. Islamic radicals have nothing on Jewish radicals. The Jews were the first to bring modern terror tactics to the Mideast. They started in Palestine in the 1920s with terrorist bombings and assassinations and graduated to kidnapping people and publicly executing them to the cheers of their fellow Zionists.

The British correctly labeled the Zionist militias as terror organizations and their members as terrorists even after their members became the heads of the Israeli government in 1948. Britain did not recognize Israel until 1954 and then only as a quid pro quo for making war on Egypt in 1956. Israelis have a love affair with their terrorists. A lack of basic humanity translates into votes in Israel.

Recall the Zionists collaborated with the Nazis from the beginning. Zionist bankers in Berlin financed the election campaigns of the Nazis. Zionist leaders made a deal with the Nazis to finance the emigration of Jewish Germans to Palestine. Even as late as 1945 they negotiated with Adolf Eichmann to trade trucks for Jews in Hungary.

Why? The Nazis were racists who considered themselves the Herrnvolk, the master race. So too did the Zionists consider themselves the master race. This is a pattern which continues to this day. Israel was an ally of South Africa when the world was embargoing it as racist for its premise of white superiority.

Just a few years ago when India was ruled by a party premised upon the racial superiority of the Hindus Israel made its greatest inroads in military sales. It went as far as India giving Israel the right to land, refuel and rearm in India after attacking Iran. It is not known for certain that this deal has been rescinded.

Is there a problem with believers in their own superiority working together? The Japanese believed in their superiority and still allied with the Nazis for WWII. Clearly Jews had no problem dealing with the Nazis nor with racist white South Africans nor with racist Hindus.

I observe and report. I do not explain. Many true things cannot be explained logically. Facts remain facts explained or not.

If you believe the ideological, religious fanatics in Iran would nuke Israel then you must also believe the ideological religious fanatics in Israel would do the same.

Notes/Sources:
1.Written by Matt Giwer, April 5th 2009

http://politicaltheatrics.org/2009/11/02/israels-unspoken-nuclear-l...

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